نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مهندسی آب، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تبریز
2 استاد گروه مهندسی آب، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تبریز
3 دانشیار گروه مهندسی آب، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تبریز
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
In this research, gradual and rapid changes of hydro-climatological variables, trends were analyzed for the Lighvanchai basin. Also, the natural (stationary) and impacted periods were identified. For this purpose, the traditional Mann-Kendall (MK1), modified (MK3) and Pettitt methods were used and for determination of the trend line slope the Senʼs estimator was used. Results showed that streamflow values of Lighvanchai River (in Hervy station) had a downward trend in the all time scales. In the spring, all precipitation related variables showed a decreasing trend. In the case of temperature variables, there was an increasing trend at the most of the studied time scales, which were significant from January to May. Furthermore, the differences between Tmax and Tmin showed an increasing trend. On the other hand, air relative humidity time series showed a decreasing trend (specially in winter). It could be concluded that the combination of these changes led to decreasing trend in basin runoff. The result of Pettitt test showed that the streamflow of Lighvanchai (in Hervy) had a sudden change point, so that the average discharge in the recent period had been decreased about 35% compared to the first period. Most of studied climatic variables such as air temperature and RH, had a sudden change point that the date changes of these variables and the basin discharges (at Hervy station) were occurred in the mid-1990s. Regarding the discharges of Lighvan station (upstream of basin) the null hypothesis of abrupt change point were rejected. Therefore, along with the effects of climatic factors the effectiveness of the human factors on reducing the runoff in the basin outlet at Hervy station was confirmed.
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Received 13 July 2010, Revised 20 July 2011, Accepted 18 September 2011, Available online 29 September 2011
This manuscript was handled by Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Editor-in-Chief, with the assistance of Christa D. Peters-Lidard, Associate Editor
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